CME Scoreboard

Prediction for CME (2017-11-25T07:40:00-CME-001)

This is a TEST prediction using the CAT-PUMA model. The model is more suitable for CMEs with angular width over 90 degree. This CME has angular width less than 90 degree. 

Method Name: CAT-PUMA (CME Arrival Time Prediction Using MAchine learning methods)
URL: https://github.com/PyDL/cat-puma (Open-source model engine will be available after the paper gets accepted)

CME Parameters from SOHO LASCO C2 & C3:
Onset time: 2017-11-25T07:24:00
Angular width: 87.5 
Average speed: 415 km/s
Final speed: 561 km/s
Mass: 8.77e15 g  # No mass estimation, use average value in the model
MPA: 70.5

Solar Wind Parameters from WIND Spacecraft:
Bz: -0.5 nT
Alpha-Proton Ratio: 0.041  # No observation, use average value in the model
Flow Speed: 387.2 km/s
Flow Latitude: 0.18
Pressure: 0.80 nPa
Flow Longitude: 2.66
Bx: -2.11 nT
Temperature: 61475 K

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy